The two multifamily revenue management mavens outlined how their respective solutions – the Rainmaker Group’s LRO and RealPage’s YieldStar Price Optimizer — behaved during the downturn, and what they saw in the first part of 2010 as markets began to recover.

Steiner Jovanovic said her clients were able to respond to falling demand with more moderate pricing adjustments and that YieldStar properties were able to sustain occupancy levels without the rent loss experienced by the general market. In general, she pegged her clients’ outperformance of the market at 3.2 percent nationally in terms of rent and occupancy.

While she didn’t detail the difference between YieldStar users and the market on the way down, she did give comparative numbers for the rising tide of 2010.

“If you compare our results in the first quarter of 2010 to the first quarter of 2009, [YieldStar] properties outperformed 3.7% in revenue, which was made up entirely of net effective rent,” Steiner Jovanovic said. “The markets are still catching up on occupancy, but because YieldStar properties were already in a more favorable occupancy position through the recession, they’re able to push price much more aggressively now.”

For Archstone’s Davidoff, perhaps the earliest adopter of revenue management technology in the multifamily industry, having his LRO pricing tool was the saving grace of an otherwise brutal two-year period.

“It’s fascinating to me,” Davidoff said. “I honestly don’t know how anyone could have made it through this past cycle without a revenue management tool.”

He said that LRO started reacting to the reduction in demand as far back as December 2007, even though seasonality was still giving many operators a false sense of strength, just as they approached the abyss in 2008. Then, the system started projecting strong demand at a time when much of the market was still in the doldrums – and scared into paralysis – when it came to pushing rents back up.

“We’ve had spectacular rent growth in the first quarter of this year, and our year-over-year numbers are up substantially,” Davidoff said. “It all started in the fourth quarter [of 2009], before operators could feel it, before there was that visceral understanding of what was going on in the market. But the statistics were bearing it out. The guest card counts were rising, the leasing velocities were more steady and solid, and supply wasn’t quite as brutal, and all of that played together.”

Speaking of raising rents, the two apartment execs also had an interesting perspective on the potential for “green” amenities to push rents in the coming cycle. Spurred by MFE’s moderator Chris Wood, who asked whether revenue management systems could generate “green” premiums in various markets, the two pricing pros were surprisingly optimistic.

“There are already premiums within specific portfolios being garnered by green buildings, I would say particularly within the Pacific Northwest,” Steiner Jovanovic said.  “With regards to YieldStar the results will be there…  any component that drives demand will be capitalized on by the system in the form of affecting rent growth.”

Davidoff, who said Archstone hasn’t explicitly discussed using LRO to get a “green” lift in rents at the company’s properties, pointed to the science of revenue management to say that if green buildings are valued more highly by prospects, they will, indeed, be priced accordingly.

“Where residents or prospects favor green buildings, and if we do our marketing job correctly in communicating those benefits, we will see demand rise, we will see our own internal supply drop and LRO will respond by raising rents,” Davidoff said. “The value of green, or any amenity or feature of a property, is ultimately going to be realized in the demand response.”

You can access the full exchange here.

New White Paper: Archstone Test Shows 1.5% Revenue Increase from Call Center’s Capture of Incremental Leads

Revenue gains in 40-community trial validated by international independent consulting firm

Emeryville, CA, February 25, 2010 – Multifamily strategy consultant Steve Lefkovits, operator of MultifamilyRevenue.com, announced the release of a white paper documenting a nine-month test by Archstone, a leading multifamily operator.  The test evaluated multifamily revenue management using The Rainmaker Group’s LRO (“LRO”) lease rent optimization system and professional prospect guest card creation utilizing Level One’s Central Leasing Office.  Results of the study showed that Archstone’s communities that used Level One’s call center and automated lease rate optimization from LRO generated 1.5% more revenue than test communities relying on self-management of inbound phone call leads.

“Archstone’s nine-month, 40-community test of professional lead handling and guest card creation proved that increased lead volume can drive higher revenue per unit, even in a soft or declining market,” said Steve Lefkovits, who authored the white paper documenting the test. “Archstone’s 1.5% revenue boost resulted from harvesting new leads from existing marketing sources and automatically feeding that prospect traffic to the LRO system.  LRO moved rents in response to demand, increasing revenue per unit in the test properties. “We estimate that on a “typical” property, this kind of result would equate to an incremental $45,000 – $67,500 in annual net operating income.  This new white paper (linked here) lays out the analysis.”

The Archstone trial compared 20 test properties with 7,200 units using Level One’s call center against an equal number of properties in a control group that did not use the call center Level One answered the phone 98-99% of the time, versus 50-60% of the time at the control properties.  Additional guest cards were captured, effectively increasing demand for the properties.  LRO set rental rates based on scientific demand analysis in both the test and control groups.  The 1.5% revenue increase in the test group was validated by an independent international consulting firm.  “The revenue increase was not from increased occupancy, it was from real-time visibility into the new, higher demand,” Lefkovits explained.  It’s exciting that even a sophisticated company like Archstone can increase prospect leads and income by having 98-99% of their inbound sales calls answered.”

To download the white paper, please use this link below:

http://www.multifamilyrevenue.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/02/archstone_increases_revenue_using_levelone_lro.pdf

According to units, each week, Garver calls and incorporates community managers on pricing decisions by confirming the accuracy of the program data and adjusts any part of the program that property managers think are not competitive with others’ rates, or not appropriate for the current market place.

Dave Woodward, CEO of the Laramar Group, attributes their high occupancy rates (high 90s across the board!) to the use of both the LRO system and a pricing manager. “You can’t buy the software, flip a switch and assume it will work,” he says. “We’ve heard of companies that take this black-and-white approach, but it doesn’t allow on-site community staff to have ownership of the system. We’ve taken an approach to empower the field and let them have a say in the pricing.”

Garver echoes Woodward saying a successful implementation requires buy-in from property staff. “We didn’t want property managers left out of the process – they are experts who live in this every day,” she says.”

Read on about Garver and Laramar’s integration of the site staff in their expanding corporate initiative to stay on top in their markets at the following link: Priceless Input

Below are selected videos taken from a presentation given by Kathleen Reidenbach of Kimpton Hotels. In the short videos, she shares revenue management practices and strategies used by the lodging industry and draws parallels to the multifamily industry.

Revenue and Market Share Lift from Using Revenue Management

Kathleen Reidenbach, Vice President of Revenue Management and Distribution for Kimpton Hotels was kind enough to speak at length to the 2008 AIM Conference.  Her presentation detailed Kimpton’s increased revenue and market share from revenue management, how they optimize pricing using demand information, and the deep integration of marketing with revenue management and the staffing required to reach the right customers with the right offers at the right time.

For those interested in managing advertising in social media, the last video will be especially useful as she details how they use public feedback from ratings sites as a management tool, and how Kimpton manages their brand reputation in an environment with customer-generated content.

Reidenbach’s complete presentation is available on this site to view.  Above and below are four video excerpts of some of the most directly applicable lessons she shared with the multifamily industry.

Revenue Management Staffing and Infrastructure

Automatic Distribution of Pricing
Across Marketing Channels

Reputation Management – Customer Ratings and Comments

The AMLI case study is important because the company takes a “people and process first” approach to performance.  They treat revenue management as simply one form of optimization, a technology among a number of quantifiable efforts they use to drive incremental results.  AMLI has about 22,000 apartment homes in 11 different markets.  They are headquartered in Chicago.  Hear from Steve Small directly below.

Part 1 – 2:20  “AMLI’s Use of Revenue Management”

Part 2 – 2:40  “Elasticity in Revenue Management”

Part 3 – 5:36  “Monitoring and Reporting Tools”

Part 4 – 2:18  “Pricing Console – User Interface”

Part 5 – 3:30  “Lead-to-Lease Success”

Rich Anderson, Senior Equity Analyst at BMO Capital Markets once sarcastically asked Camden Property Trust CEO Ric Campo if Camden execs kneeled and bowed to the revenue management terminal each morning.  (Don’t take our word for it, the exact exchange is quoted below.)

Since then, Anderson hasn’t lost his humorous edge, but he has come around and produced a very thoughtful and comprehensive report on revenue management in multifamily which is a very concise summary of the value proposition, as well as his insights into its impact on the business.  The report includes great data on the revenue lift that revenue-managed properties have experienced.  We think Anderson’s report deserves notice from the industry, and from investors as it contains important insights into operational value creation.  He summarizes his view with:

“The bottom line is that we think multifamily revenue management, in
connection with a hands-on approach, is proving itself a worthy tool for the
industry – with revenue lift averaging something north of 1% depending on
how it is measured. And the more it is used, the better and more efficient the
overall business of apartments will become. In some cases it is a push –
using revenue management to set rents results in no meaningful upside. This
happens about 30% of the time, and is mainly a function of strong in-place
property management personnel. But the problem is, good employees tend to
leave (assuming 60%+ employee turnover) whereas revenue management
does not. So even in those cases where revenue lift from the software is
marginal, it still makes sense to consider utilizing revenue management.”

We will excerpt Anderson’s report from time to time and discuss additional elements of it.  For now, it’s available for you to download and enjoy in its entirety at the link below.

BMO Revenue Management Summary

And here’s the original sarcastic exchange from Camden’s Q3 2007 analyst conference call:

Rich Anderson – BMO Capital Markets

Hi, good morning still for you guys. I guess, the first question is I listen to this and it is like Yield Star has been around for two years, has two years of history, and we’re really hanging our hat on something that doesn’t have the history that you guys have, as real estate professionals.
So, I mean is there a chance that it could be wrong?

Richard Campo

Rich, that is a very interesting question.

Rich Anderson – BMO Capital Markets

I’m picturing you guys going to work every morning and like kneeling in front of the Yield Star terminal and bowing to it or something.

Richard Campo

No, look, Yield Star is a tool, okay? It has to be managed by people. And people have to ask the question every day, on-site manager, your district managers and we have Yield Star pricing specialists that deal with issues that come up, and so it is in fact a tool, not a panacea.

It is not on autopilot. It is managed every single day by the people running their properties. The different in the past was you didn’t have an ability to forecast and you didn’t have an ability to run all of the numbers that Yield Star runs.

What it does simply is forecast and figure out all of the permutations that you need to understand as you’re marketing, as you’re running a property.

It was given at AIM 2008, Apartment Internet Marketing Conference in Scottsdale, Arizona.